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College football odds, picks, lines for 2018 Bowl Games: Proven computer model backing Penn State, Oklahoma State

With some major blowouts such as Auburn knocking off Purdue 63-14, and thrillers like Washington State topping Iowa State 28-26, the 2018-19 college football season has already seen plenty of action. Oddsmakers have been way off on many spreads, and bettors are looking for opportunities to capitalize as the final games approach. In the latest college football odds, Georgia is now a 13-point favorite against Texas in the 2019 Sugar Bowl, up two points from the opening line despite UGA corner Deandre Baker announcing that he won’t play as he focuses on the NFL Draft. With college football news still breaking and lines on the move all the way up to kickoff of the final game, be sure to check out the up-to-the-minute college football picks and predictions from SportsLine’s proven model. 

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times, and those who have followed it have seen massive returns. Over the past three years, this proprietary computer model has generated a jaw-dropping $4,210 profit for $100 bettors on its top-rated point-spread picks. 

The model made some huge calls during Championship Week, including nailing Ohio State (-16.5) against Northwestern and Oklahoma (-9.5) against Texas. And when it comes to all top-rated picks, the model has been red-hot, entering the 2018 college football bowl season on a blistering 45-25 run. Anybody who has followed it is way, way up. 

Now it has simulated every single play 10,000 times and its 2018 college football bowl picks and predictions are in.

One of the top college football bowl picks the model is extremely high on: No. 12 Penn State (-6.5) covers against No. 14 Kentucky in the 2019 Citrus Bowl on New Year’s Day.

The Wildcats clearly exceeded expectations this season, but their second half of the season wasn’t nearly as impressive as the first. They dropped three of their last five conference games, including a 24-7 defeat at the hands of 5-7 Tennessee. Penn State, meanwhile, won five of its last six games to enter the postseason with plenty of momentum. James Franklin’s squad held Wisconsin, Rutgers, and Maryland to a combined 20 points to close out the season.

The model projects Penn State quarterback Trace McSorley to account for over 250 yards of total offense against a tough Kentucky defense. That helps the Nittany Lions cover in 60 percent of simulations, while the Under (47.5) has plenty of value as well because that hits over 60 percent of the time. Penn State continues its dominating point differential this season of +14.6, compared to Kentucky’s +7.8.

Another one of the top college football predictions from the model: Oklahoma State (+9) covers against Missouri in the 2018 Liberty Bowl on New Year’s Eve. 

Oddsmakers are looking for a ton of offense in this matchup, and the total keeps flying up. It’s now set at 74 after opening at 71, and the model has a slight lean to the Under on that pick. And while Missouri has an NFL-caliber quarterback in Drew Lock, the model believes nine points is too high for this line and has found value on the Cowboys, a team that knocked off West Virginia in the second to last game of the season.

OSU quarterback Taylor Cornelius throws for over 300 yards in the simulations, with receiver Tylan Wallace recording almost 100 yards. That duo helps the Cowboys get the cover in almost 60 percent of simulations, while there’s also value on Oklahoma State on the money line (+265) because it pulls off the straight-up upset 43 percent of the time. 

The model is also calling for multiple favorites to get stunned in bowl season, and has an extremely strong pick for the national semifinal between Alabama and Oklahoma in the Orange Bowl, saying one side covers in over 60 percent of simulations. 

So what college football picks can you make with confidence during college football bowl season? And which side of Alabama vs. Oklahoma should you be all over? Check out the latest college football bowl game odds below, and then visit SportsLine to see which teams are winning more than 50 percent of simulations, all from a proven computer model that has returned over $4,000 in profit over the past three seasons.

Military Bowl: Cincinnati vs. Virginia Tech (+5.5, 53.5)
Redbox Bowl: Michigan State vs. Oregon (-2.5, 48)
Liberty Bowl: Missouri vs. Oklahoma State (+9, 74.5)
Holiday Bowl: Northwestern vs. Utah (-7, 46)
Gator Bowl: Texas A&M vs. NC State (+7, 58.5)
Sun Bowl: Pittsburgh vs. Stanford (-5.5, 52)
Outback Bowl: Mississippi State vs. Iowa (+7, 43.5)
Citrus Bowl: Kentucky vs. Penn State (-6.5, 47.5)
Fiesta Bowl: LSU vs. Central Florida (+7.5, 55.5)
Rose Bowl: Ohio State vs. Washington (+6.5, 58)
Sugar Bowl: Georgia vs. Texas (+12.5, 58)
Orange Bowl: Alabama vs. Oklahoma (+14, 77)
Cotton Bowl: Clemson vs. Notre Dame (+12.5, 56)

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