Penn State football finished the year 9-3 in the Big Ten, and third in the brutal East division. They’ll face the upstart Kentucky Wildcats, who are 9-3 and enjoying their best year in a long, long time.
The two sides will meet in the Citrus Bowl in Orlando on New Year’s Day.
As you’d imagine, Penn State remains a pretty decent favorite. The Nittany Lions opened as a touchdown favorite, though things have tightened slightly.
Most sportsbooks have moved things down to Penn State -6.5, firmly in what Bill Simmons calls the “Vegas Zone.”
OddsShark‘s Super Computer has pumped out its calculation, and it likes Penn State football for a narrow cover.
The computer gives fractional scores based on its model, and has Penn State as a 7.2-point favorite.
Penn State is 7-5 against the spread this year, while Kentucky has let down its bettors more often than not, and is just 5-7 by that metric.
The game is set for a 1 p.m. kickoff from Camping World Stadium in Orlando on January 1, 2019.
The two sides have met up five times, with Penn State winning three of the games. The first four games came in the regular season from 1975-78, a four-game set split by the Nittany Lions and Wildcats.
In 1999, Penn State beat Kentucky 26-14 in the Outback Bowl.